IBM beats fourth-quarter estimates, forecasts 5% revenue growth in 2026

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Chairman, President and CEO of IBM Arvind Krishna attends the 55th annual World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2025.

Yves Herman | Reuters

IBM reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results on Wednesday and issued a forecast that slightly topped estimates.

Here how the company did compared to LSEG consensus estimates:

  • Earnings per share: $4.52 adjusted vs. $4.32 expected
  • Revenue: $19.69 billion vs. $19.23 billion expected.

Revenue rose 12% during the period from $17.6 billion a year earlier. Net income increased to $5.6 billion, or $5.88 per share, from $2.92 billion, or $3.09 per share, in the year-ago period.

IBM said it expects full-year revenue growth to exceed 5%, decelerating from 8% last year. Analysts expect sales growth of 4.6% in 2026, according to LSEG. Free cash flow should increase by $1 billion after reaching $14.7 billion in 2025, the company said.

CEO Arvind Krishna said in a release that the company’s generative artificial intelligence book of business hit more than $12.5 billion.

“This capped a strong 2025 for IBM where we exceeded expectations for revenue, profit and free cash flow,” Krishna wrote.

IBM said software revenue rose 14% to $9 billion in fourth quarter, benefitting from automation, data and Red Hat products. Infrastructure sales increased 21% to $5.1 billion, with 67% year-over-year growth in its IBM Z Systems line of mainframe computers.

The company’s board of directors approved a per-share dividend of $1.68, payable on March 10.